Tag: russia

Introduction

In my previous articles in October 2024, Trump Win: Goodbye USA and Polarised World Order, in June 2025 An Uncertain World and in November 2025 Europeans, Ukraine Dilemma , I considered what the world would look like if a new USA Administration lead by Donald Trump were to be elected. Today when I read the following; “Trump lays bare his contempt for Europe in a blistering new “USA National Security Strategy” (NSS) document, I’m afraid that in general my articles reflect how in the past One Year the World has Changed.

USA Administration Domination

In the past Year and recently in particular, the new USA Administration and its leader, have dominated the world activities and the world order in a huge way, that is destabilizing the world functions over the past 80 years. This includes the USA itself and many major Countries, throughout the world. It appears that the USA is using its Financial and Military Muscle to Coerce Countries throughout the world to follow their demands or face retribution. This includes its close allies in Europe and around the world as well as the USA’s adversaries. No matter what world media outlets you look at they all refer to the USA Administration domination and its effects, every minute of every day.

Interfering Europe not Welcomed by the USA

The USA Administration have adopted a policy based upon the new National Security Strategy (NSS) which is based upon the USA’ Presidents Monro, ‘Monro Doctrine’ in 1823. It was primarily aimed at European Colonialism, Interference and Influence in the Americas in particular those South of the USA Border. It also gave the USA the right to intervene in those South of the Border Countries to reinforce the USA preeminence in the Western Hemisphere. Perhaps this explains the military build up, threatening Venezuela, who has a Dictatorial President that the USA dislikes.

USA Administration Disdain for Europeans

Why is the USA Administration’s Disdain (the feeling that someone or something is unworthy of one’s consideration or respect) for Europe? This Disdain is coming from the very top of the USA Administration and its NSS in a manner that Europe is being overrun by Non-European, Non-Whites, caused by immigration and because of this Europe faces quote: “civilization erasure.” There are many other criticisms by the USA of Europe that demeans the Europeans. At the same time there is no criticism of Russia by the USA Administration, who are trying to destabilise Europe and Ukraine. The Europeans form a major part of the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation (NATO) which is also experiencing some strained relations with its major contributor, the USA.

Ukraine War has Solidified Europe

The majority of the major European Countries have come together since the Ukraine War started but especially in the last few months due to the Attitude and Actions by the USA Administration. As the Europeans are a major contributor of support for Ukraine, the recent ‘Ukraine, Russia Peace Talks’ have highlighted differences between the USA Administration and European Countries. First of all the USA Administration and Russia created a 28 point so called Peace Plan without consulting Ukraine and Europe. However, the Europeans backing Ukraine demanded that they were involved in reviewing the Peace Plan as it appeared to give Russia everything they demanded. This did not go down well with the USA Administration or Russia, who accused the Europeans of Interference in the USA Peace process. However, this did bring some unity within the ‘European NATO Block’ who recognised the Ukraine positive outcome was important to Europe as a whole. My views of the Ukraine War and the USA Administrations approach is highlighted in my article: ‘Europeans, Ukraine Dilemma’ dated November 2025.

Is Europe becoming Non-European?

One of the new USA’s NSS points is their somewhat over zealous claim that in about 20 years some European Countries in NATO populations will become Non-European. This mainly relates to European Immigration most of which are Islamic. It is suggested that those Countries will not support the ideals of the USA and NATO. First of all the average Islamic actual population in Europe is only 6% the same as the United Kingdom, however the public thinks its much higher which is due to the Islamic communities ‘Imposing’ their way of life on the 94% of the Non-Muslim population. Refer to my recent article: Great Britain and Islamic Fears November 2025. Secondly there are 3 NATO Countries with mainly Islamic populations, North Macedonia 30/50%, Albania 50/70% and Turkiye 90/95% the 2nd biggest Military Power in NATO. Therefore, this USA Administration claim that the majority of NATO European Countries will become Non-European and therefore will not support USA and NATO ideals appears to be unfounded.

USA Peace Plan is also a USA Commercial Plan

Ukraines top General Oleksandr Syrskyi said a “Just Peace” can only be achieved if fighting is halted along current front lines and then for negotiations to take place”. He also indicated that Ukraine will not give Russia Territory and its People which are still under Ukraines control. All parties want Peace but it must be a ‘Just Peace’ starting with a Cease Fire at current front line positions. Russia has stated NO CEASE FIRE and WE WILL TAKE TERRITORY BY FORCE if not given by Ukraine. Therefore with the amended USA Peace Plan, there is no possibility of an Agreement at present unless Russia is willing to compromise on some points for ending the War. The USA Administration want Peace in Ukraine as a matter of urgency, like the Europeans and Ukraine. However the USA see big Commercial Advantages with Russia and the invitation to re join the G7 Nations as part of a Post War USA Commercial Plan. This USA Commercial Plan appears to be driving the overall Peace Plan, which may not be in Ukraines or Europe’s best interest.

USA Far East Alliances in Preference to Europeans

As part of the USA NSS it is focusing on the Far East Alliances, such as India, Japan, South Korea, Philippines and Australia, whilst communicating with China regarding the South China Sea, Taiwan and USA China trade relationships. At the same time as we have discussed, a waning USA interest in European Alliances and the commitment to NATO, where USA military forces may be withdrawn and redeployed toward the USA and maybe the Far East.

Conclusion

There is no doubt that President Trump and his USA Administration have changed the world order over the past one year and it is likely to continue for at least another three years. I think that this is a wake up call to the whole world and especially Europe that the USA changing its priorities to benefit the USA in a ‘USA First’ policy, in all of its future activities. How this will manifest itself in the coming months and years only time and circumstances will tell. Its time for Europe which the USA says its a non-entity to assert itself in the world as a World Power without the USA.

Introduction

Over the last 12 months the Europeans have come to the conclusion that their relationship with the Untied States of America (USA) has changed significantly in many ways. It appears that the Europeans have realised that the support that the USA has given over the past 80 years, is decreasing due to USA internal policy changes. This is related to the relationship with Europe, including the approach to the Ukraine situation and other matters. Many European Leaders of the larger Countries, such as Germany, France Italy Spain part of the European Union and the United Kingdom are ensuring that their input to matters such as Ukraine are taken into consideration. By doing so this is causing a European dilemma of the future relationship with the USA.

The Ukraine Situation

The map above shows the Ukraine/Russia situation as at 29 November 2025. Crimea was annexed by Russia in 2014, however the other occupied areas is as a result of the war since 2021. In the early part of the war Ukraine in 2021 pushed Russia out of the invasion areas in the north. Russia has gained little ground in the 4 regions ( Kherson, Zaporizhzhia, Donetsk and Luhansk), over the past 2 years owing to the strong defence by the Ukrainians. In addition to these front lines, Russia has and still is launching significant air assaults on civilian accommodation, Energy Facilities and Infrastructure. It was believed by Russia that they could take all of Ukraine very quickly in 2021. They were wrong so they decided they want all of the 4 regions and Crimea for the time being.

European and USA Support

The Ukrainians had significant support including weapons ammunition, air defence systems and intelligence at the start of the war in 2021 from the USA, UK, EU and others allowing the Ukrainians to defend themselves and push the Russian invaders in the north out of Ukraine and back into Russia. In the previous USA Administration the USA played a significant role in the support function. However the new USA Administration’s policy on Ukraine has impacted the support chain, requiring the European to bare more of the support function. Another major change by the USA is that they will sell weapons to Europe for them to distribute to Ukraine. The USA are also looking to have payment in time to come for the support provided by the previous administration (green) which at the time no payment was expected. The Europeans and the UK, on the other hand have and still are providing support Free Of Charge (FOC) to the Ukrainians.

Push For Peace

The recent additional movement for Russia to stop the war against Ukraine was by the USA and Russia’s 28 point plan being formulated without Ukraine or Europe being involved. This war involves Ukraine and Europe through its support. A meeting was called for by Europe and Ukraine as well as the USA in Geneva Switzerland. It was clear that the ’28 point Peace Plan’ originated from the demands of the Russians for all of their requirements to be met. However the Europeans and Ukraine insisted on some changes including the right of Ukraine to decide to apply for NATO membership in the longer term. It also had the right to have an army big enough to protect itself initially at a later date but with Security Guarantees from the USA and the ‘Coalition of the Willing’ headed by the UK and France. However, more importantly is the insistence by Russia for Ukraine to give up the territory and its people in the 4 Regions that Russia has not taken by force. The Ukrainians, Europeans, UK and the many members of the Coalition of the Willing do not agree that this should be done as these are fortified defence positions (Green).

The Forced Dilemma

As part of the dilemma the USA are trying to force this part and other parts of the so called ’28 point Peace Plan’ through and give Russia almost everything they want. This also includes removing all USA sanctions on Russia and allow the to join the G7 nations to G8. The real dilemma is if the Ukrainians, Europeans, UK and the many members of the Coalition of the Willing do not agree that this should be done and the Russians reject the Peace Plan and continues the war, what will the USA Administration do? It has been floated by the USA Administration that they would stop all weapons deliveries to Europe together with other support facilities like Intelligence information to Ukraine. They may also want repayment from Ukraine for the previous weapons and support much quicker. They would most certainly block any move for Ukraine to join NATO. It will also leave Europe including the UK and the Coalition of the Willing to continue support for Ukraine without the USA.

Is it Time for Europe to Lead

Europe including the UK have a collective decision to make, that is to accept that the USA is no longer a reliable partner, which has already been voiced by some European Countries Leaders. It is time for Europe to Lead and look out for themselves and Ukraine, in resisting Russia’s advancement and to support Ukraine to defend itself. In addition, Europe must defend its borders too. Many Leaders of the larger European Countries have recognised that fact already and are taking action to increase their defence requirements. This will of course include a reduced NATO maybe without the USA. However, even without the USA Europe must also continue to find a solution to stop the war in Ukraine as soon as possible to stop the huge loss of life on both sides. This will be difficult as Russia wants all of Ukraine not just the regions discussed and is not really interested in a Lasting Peace or Cease Fire. Militarily giving up the 4 Regions to Russia, will create a spring board to further attacks by Russia to gain full control of Ukraine.

Will Ukraine Be forced to Accept Regions Handover?

As I am composing this article as the Ukrainians are on the way to the USA for talks on the 28 Point Peace Plan with the USA Administration. This meeting appears to be the USA forcing Ukraine to accept all of terms including the Regions Handover to Russia. Whilst Ukraine wants peace they will have to decide the outcome of this meeting. Whilst they have the backing of all Europe, UK and other parties not to accept the Regions Handover, the Ukrainians are in a very difficult position. Although there is a promise of Security Guarantees, we have seen the USA ignore them like the Nonnuclear and the 2014 Russia take over of Crimea. Therefore even with the aid of the Europeans, if Russia attacks again, Ukraine will be on their own and Europe, UK and NATO Countries, especially Poland and the Balkens will be under threat by Russia. So there are two outcomes; Ukraine Signs Agreement under Duress and Russia Wins or Ukraine does Not Sign Agreement under Duress and War Goes on with possible Loss of USA Support.

Conclusion

This situation is a Dilemma for Ukraine, Europe, UK, Coalition of the Willing and NATO due to the USA who appears to favour Russia over their long time Allies to stop the War. All of the above except for Russia want to end this War but the current approach by the USA is Appeasement just like 1939 all over again. As we have seen that in the days to come there will be the likelihood of the 2 Options outlined above, both which are difficult ways forward. However, I feel that not signing the USA Russia Agreement sends a message to both, that Ukraine, Europe, UK, Coalition of the Willing and NATO will defend their Sovereignty and Borders whatever the cost against Russian Aggregation. God Help the Ukrainian People!